Description: Actuaries are increasingly being asked to incorporate Economic Scenario Generators into their work. Whether it be a Risk Neutral model for pricing or a Real-World version for Economic Capital modelling, using these tools can help produce a much more robust analysis. Unfortunately, these models and their underpinnings are also very complicated, which can lead to confusion. The presenters in this session will try to demystify some of this. In particular, they will address the following questions: • What is the difference between Real-World and Risk Neutral scenarios? • When should I use one or the other? • How are these models calibrated? • What are some of the misconceptions about these models?

Description: Pricing is a central activity of actuaries to assure solvency and to manage risk. Life insurance is also a social good, not just a product, and the US population is massively underinsured. Pricing must strike a balance. Unlike a simple 4x4 matrix to produce pricing, today's technology offers the ability to evaluate literally thousands of variables, enabling a kind of precision pricing. It also heightens the possibility of introducing bias and discrimination through the use of unregulated third-party data.

Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference - Session 5A: Pandemic Rewind: Risk Management and Scenario Modeling Learnings 10.26.21 Recording

Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference - Session 10E: Azure Synapse for Actuaries | Solvency II Use Case 10.28.21 Recording

Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference - Session 13E: Managing Cognitive Bias in ERM Processes 10.29.21 Recording

Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference - Session 14A: Credit Risk & Small Diverse Businesses Within Underserved Communities 10.29.21 Recording

Description: Insurers are increasingly using advanced analytics to model expected outcomes. Two well-known examples in the life insurance industry are models for predicting policyholder behavior and to manage risk selection. The presenters will explore the various types of advanced analytics being considered in models and how the associated risks of these models can be incorporated into an enterprise's risk framework.

Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference -Resurrecting the White Swan Mindset: How Much More Can Be Forecast Recording

Description: This is the disclaimer for the Economic Scenario Generators tool available from the SOA / AAA on the SOA Website.

Description: The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) has developed the Group Capital Calculation (GCC) for U.S.-based insurance groups since late 2015. GCC is designed to provide a coherent analytical framework to show a panoramic, transparent view of the interconnectedness, business activities and underlying capital support for an insurance group. The last field testing was completed in May 2019. The final proposal was adopted in late 2020. The Federal Reserve Board (FSB) also recently updated the group capital standard to an aggregation method, which is similar to the NAIC GCC. The Insurance Capital Standard (ICS) is under the development by International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) for Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs). It has entered the five-monitoring period from January 2020 to monitor the performance of the ICS V2.0 and the IAIS will perform a comparability assessment of the ICS V2.0 with the Aggregation Method (e.g. NAIC GCC) during this period.